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.290 0.017 0.015 0.011 0.383 0.365 0.362Slovakia 7 0.115 0.111 0.110 0.015 0.012 0.009 0.207 0.210 0.204 0.015 0.012 0.010 0.336 0.306 0.305Denmark 7 0.115 0.111 0.110 0.015 0.012 0.009 0.207 0.210 0.204 0.015 0.012 0.010 0.336 0.306 0.305Finland 7 0.115 0.111 0.110 0.015 0.012 0.009 0.207 0.210 0.204 0.015 0.012 0.010 0.336 0.306 0.305Ireland 7 0.115 0.111 0.110 0.015 0.012 0.009 0.207 0.210 0.204 0.015 0.012 0.010 0.336 0.306 0.305Lithuania 7 0.115 0.111 0.110 0.015 0.012 0.009 0.207 0.210 0.204 0.015 0.012 0.010 0.336 0.306 0.305Table 6.5 cont dSimple majority Qualified majority Double qualified majorityBanzhaf Index Banzhaf Index Capacity to block Banzhaf Index Capacity to blockState Votes 2004 2007 2015 2004 2007 2015 2004 2007 2015 2004 2007 2015 2004 2007 2015Latvia 4 0.100 0.096 0.100 0.009 0.007 0.005 0.119 0.121 0.117 0.013 0.010 0.008 0.288 0.246 0.247Slovenia 4 0.100 0.096 0.100 0.009 0.007 0.005 0.119 0.121 0.117 0.013 0.010 0.008 0.288 0.246 0.247Estonia 4 0.100 0.096 0.100 0.009 0.007 0.005 0.119 0.121 0.117 0.013 0.010 0.008 0.288 0.246 0.247Cyprus 4 0.100 0.096 0.100 0.009 0.007 0.005 0.119 0.121 0.117 0.013 0.010 0.008 0.288 0.246 0.247Luxembourg 4 0.100 0.096 0.100 0.009 0.007 0.005 0.119 0.121 0.117 0.013 0.010 0.008 0.288 0.246 0.247Malta 3 0.095 0.092 0.096 0.006 0.005 0.004 0.088 0.091 0.088 0.012 0.009 0.007 0.272 0.226 0.226Romania 16 0.145 0.135 0.027 0.021 0.467 0.455 0.020 0.015 0.484 0.469Bulgaria 10 0.125 0.121 0.017 0.013 0.298 0.290 0.015 0.011 0.365 0.362Croatia 7 0.110 0.009 0.204 0.010 0.305Macedonia 4 0.100 0.005 0.117 0.008 0.247Turkey 29 0.189 0.034 0.752 0.022 0.708Decisiveness 0.4 0.4 0.36 0.036 0.028 0.023 0.022 0.020 0.016Note: The Nice Treaty with quantitative voting requires: 1) qualified majority: 74 percent of the votes plus possibly 62 percent of the member statespopulations; 2) double qualified majority: 1) plus the requirements of 2/3 of the member states.The Lisbon Treaty has only qualitative voting andrequires 1) qualified majority: 55 per ent of member states and 65 percent of their populations; 2) double qualified majority: 72 percent of memberstates and 65 percent of their populations.Table 6.6 The European Council, according to LisbonQM: 55% of members and 65% of population QM: 72% of members and 65% of populationBanzhaf Index Capacity to block Banzhaf Index Capacity to blockState Population 2004 2007 2015 2004 2007 2015 2004 2007 2015 2004 2007 2015Germany 82.2 0.157 0.203 0.158 0.780 0.789 0.725 0.024 0.011 0.008 0.721 0.692 0.653UK 59.8 0.116 0.150 0.119 0.574 0.585 0.547 0.020 0.009 0.007 0.603 0.611 0.587France 59.5 0.115 0.150 0.119 0.572 0.582 0.545 0.020 0.009 0.007 0.602 0.610 0.586Italy 57.8 0.113 0.146 0.116 0.561 0.568 0.533 0.019 0.009 0.007 0.596 0.605 0.582Spain 40.3 0.086 0.106 0.089 0.429 0.415 0.407 0.017 0.008 0.007 0.534 0.557 0.545Poland 38.7 0.084 0.102 0.087 0.418 0.399 0.399 0.017 0.008 0.007 0.531 0.555 0.540Netherlands 16.0 0.056 0.059 0.050 0.280 0.232 0.230 0.015 0.008 0.006 0.470 0.506 0.488Greece 10.6 0.050 0.048 0.042 0.248 0.188 0.192 0.015 0.007 0.006 0.456 0.496 0.478Czech Republic 10.3 0.049 0.048 0.041 0.246 0.186 0.190 0.015 0.007 0.006 0.455 0.495 0.477Belgium 10.3 0.049 0.048 0.041 0.246 0.186 0.190 0.015 0.007 0.006 0.455 0.495 0.477Hungary 10.0 0.049 0.047 0.041 0.246 0.183 0.188 0.015 0.007 0.006 0.455 0.495 0.477Portugal 10.0 0.049 0.047 0.041 0.244 0.183 0.188 0.015 0.007 0.006 0.454 0.495 0.477Sweden 9.0 0.048 0.045 0.039 0.238 0.175 0.181 0.015 0.007 0.006 0.451 0.493 0.475Austria 8.1 0.047 0.043 0.038 0.233 0.168 0.175 0.015 0.007 0.006 0.449 0.491 0.474Slovakia 5.4 0.043 0.037 0.034 0.216 0.146 0.155 0.014 0.007 0.006 0.443 0.486 0.469Denmark 5.3 0.043 0.0375 0.033 0.215 0.145 0.155 0.014 0.007 0.006 0.442 0.485 0.469Finland 5.2 0.043 0.037 0.033 0.214 0.144 0.154 0.014 0.007 0.006 0.442 0.485 0.469Ireland 3.8 0.041 0.034 0.031 0.205 0.133 0.144 0.014 0.007 0.006 0.439 0.482 0.467Lithuania 3.7 0.041 0.034 0.031 0.205 0.132 0.143 0.014 0.007 0.006 0.438 0.482 0.466Table 6.6 cont dQM: 55% of members and 65% of population QM: 72% of members and 65% of populationBanzhaf Index Capacity to block Banzhaf Index Capacity to blockState Population 2004 2007 2015 2004 2007 2015 2004 2007 2015 2004 2007 2015Latvia 2.4 0.039 0.031 0.029 0.197 0.122 0.134 0.014 0.007 0.006 0.435 0.480 0.464Slovenia 2.0 0.039 0.030 0.028 0.194 0.118 0.131 0.014 0.007 0.006 0.435 0.479 0.464Estonia 1.4 0.038 0.029 0.027 0.191 0.113 0.127 0.014 0.007 0.006 0.433 0.478 0.463Cyprus 0.7 0.037 0.027 0.026 0.187 0.108 0.122 0.014 0.007 0.006 0.432 0.476 0.462Luxembourg 0.5 0.037 0.027 0.026 0.185 0.106 0.1207 0.014 0.007 0.006 0.431 0.476 0.461Malta 0.4 0.037 0.027 0.026 0.184 0.105 0.120 0.014 0.007 0.006 0.431 0.476 0.461Romania 22.4 0.073 0.060 0.286 0.276 0.008 0.006 0.519 0.500Bulgaria 8.1 0.043 0.038 0.168 0.175 0.007 0.006 0.491 0.474Croatia 4.7 0.033 0.150 0.006 0.468Macedonia 2.0 0.028 0.131 0.006 0.464Turkey 65.3 0.134 0.615 0.008 0.612Decisiveness 0.101 0.128 0.109 0.016 0.007 0.006128 Globalization The Juggernaut of the 21st Centurydecision in the Council.As noted above, under simple majority rule, the Banzhafvoting power score is equal to the individual capacity to block, as simple majorityis neutral in relation to the status quo.The probability is the same that there willbe a decision which changes the status quo as that it will confirm the status quo.The EU has never accepted this neutrality between the power to change and thepower to block.Thus, it favors various qualified majority (QM) schemes that givemembers more blocking power than individual capacity to be decisive.Table 6.5 also shows two such coordination mechanisms used by the EU.Qualified majority under the Nice regime means that in the EU 74 percent ofthe votes are quantitative voting, which reduces group decisiveness but increasesthe individual power to block quite substantially.The EU also employs anotherdecision rule, namely double qualified majority, which entails that in additionto receiving the 74 percent majority the winning coalition must also includetwo-thirds of the member states
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